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Lula wins fourth term in dramatic Brazil election comeback

Lula wins fourth term in dramatic Brazil election comeback

Left-wing leader Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has secured a fourth term as Brazil’s president following a dramatic election comeback against right-wing challenger Flávio Bolsonaro. Securing 51.79% of the vote, Lula achieved a historic milestone as the first president since Brazil returned to civilian rule in 1985 to win an election after trailing in the first round.

The outcome surprised many after Flávio Bolsonaro won the initial round on October 4 with 47% of the vote compared to Lula’s 45%. However, Lula’s campaign successfully mobilized voters to reduce abstentions on election day, leading to the largest drop in abstention between two rounds of a presidential election since 1989. Following the confirmation of his victory by the Supreme Electoral Court, Lula celebrated on the streets of São Paulo, telling supporters that his fourth term would be the best in the country’s history and that he would listen closely to the Brazilian people.

Flávio Bolsonaro refused to accept the results, calling them inexplicable and demanding an annulment, while his supporters left their viewing location in Brasília. The challenge centers on an extension of nationwide voting times by two hours ordered by Supreme Court Justice Cristiano Zanin. Although Bolsonaro’s supporters alleged bias due to Zanin’s past legal representation of Lula, records show both campaigns requested extensions—Lula’s team citing transportation issues in São Paulo and Bahia, and Bolsonaro’s campaign citing severe weather in the south and São Paulo. Kássio Nunes Marques, the president of the Supreme Electoral Court appointed by Jair Bolsonaro, confirmed the outcome and stated that the voting extension did not alter the result, while the 4.4 million vote gap between the candidates makes a successful challenge unlikely.

International Reactions and Domestic Hurdles

Global leaders offered mixed reactions to the outcome. US President Donald Trump alleged without evidence that the election was rigged, while leaders from Mexico, Peru, Chile, Ecuador, Canada, the European Commission, Spain, France, and South Africa sent congratulatory messages praising democracy and international partnership. Meanwhile, Flávio Bolsonaro stated in an Instagram video that police confiscated his passports and barred him from leaving the country.

Lula faces significant domestic obstacles as he prepares for his new term to begin on January 5, including a divided populace, an unyielding opposition, and a hostile Congress dominated by Bolsonaro allies. Financial markets responded negatively with the São Paolo stock exchange dropping 15% at opening before a slight recovery, alongside rising interest rate futures as investors evaluated his fiscal policies. Turning 81 on Tuesday, Lula previously served two terms from 2003 to 2010 and another starting in 2023, making him the first Brazilian leader to secure a fourth term lasting until 2030.

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